January 12

Briefly explained: Fibonacci Retracement Level and the Bitcoin formula

What is a Fibonacci retracement level? This article explains this analysis tool and its role in trading.

In yesterday’s course analysis (and a few older ones) Fibonacci retracement levels were pointed out. But what are these and why should I care? In this article I would like to answer this question and explain the term quasi from the ground up.

Fibonacci – A “World Formula” from the Middle Ages and the Bitcoin formula

In order to understand the Fibonacci retracement level and the Bitcoin formula it is necessary to clarify who or what Fibonacci is and onlinebetrug explains the Bitcoin formula. And we dare a leap into the past: around the year 1170 Leonardo of Pisa saw the light of day in that very city. As the son of the notary Guglielmo and offspring of the Bonacci family, Leonardo was taught mathematics.

This mathematics was to shape the life of filius bonaccii, or Fibonacci for short, and ultimately the whole of Europe: he was not the first, but one of the most important representatives of the Arabic number system and thus played a significant part in its introduction in the Western world.

For this article, however, it is more important that the so-called Fibonacci sequence is named after him. It is defined as follows: Starting with the one as both the first and second number, each new number is defined as the sum of the last and penultimate numbers. So you get a sequence of numbers with this shape:

1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21…

This is not only a popular programming task in the basic study of computer science: in the course of time it has been shown that this sequence can describe the most diverse facts of the world. The so-called golden section, which underlies many processes of nature and aesthetics, is ultimately defined by the Fibonacci numbers.

How does this work? If the quotient is formed from a number and its predecessor in the Fibonacci sequence of numbers, a further series of numbers is obtained that gradually approximates the value 1.618. Likewise, if you separate a number by its successor, you get a sequence of numbers that approaches the value 0.618. This ratio between two sections or other quantities is finally the golden section.

So let’s summarize: Thanks to the Fibonacci sequence, one can describe such different things as proportions in art or architecture, the growth behaviour of trees, or the shape of snail shells. Some examples can be found in the contribution picture. It is fascinating that a simple recursive program can model so many different things and is therefore almost like a world formula…

The golden ratio in the financial world

What does that have to do with trading? The fascinating thing for us is that this golden ratio can also be used in the financial world – and thus when trading crypto currencies. It turns out that the Fibonacci sequence can also be used for price movements: the golden ratio also describes the behaviour of the number of traders on the market.

It has been shown that support and resistance lines very often follow the rules of the Golden Section. This is illustrated by a current, slightly modified example from the last Bitcoin price analysis:

Here the Bitcoin development of the last weeks was considered. After scratching at the all-time high, the share price plummeted to EUR 708 by 12 January.

In the above illustration, different coloured lines are drawn for price changes of 23.6%, 38.2% and 61.8% with reference to the price minimum on 12 January and the price maximum on 5 January.

Finally, these levels are three golden sections: the 61.8% divide the distance from minimum to maximum according to the golden section, the 38.2% between minimum and 61.8% and the 23.6% between minimum and 38.2%. These levels are called Fibonacci Retracement Levels.

We see that at these levels the price development often stumbled or completely reversed. In the figure above, such moments are encircled in red. With the Fibonacci retracement levels we are dealing with supports and resistances, so it is worth studying them.

A note at this point: In addition to the levels mentioned above, there are often lines at 50% and 78.6%. While the latter has at least indirectly to do with Fibonacci retracement – 0.786 is the square root of 0.618 – the first is considered to keep track of price falls of 50% and therefore, strictly speaking, have little to do with Fibonacci retracement.

January 9

Increasing acceptance in the retail trade

The next item in our list of opportunities for 2019 is closely linked to the previous one. This is because confirmation times of ten to 60 minutes are sensational for international value transfers, but too long for retailers.

The exciting thing about the news spy:

Despite this obvious shortcoming, acceptance in the news spy sector is rising continuously: https://www.onlinebetrug.net/en/the-news-spy/According to Sonny Singh, CEO at BitPay, a crypto payment service provider, we see “a large increase” in merchants who accept Bitcoin.

A real game changer, however, would be the confirmation of the rumour that Bitcoin is about to be accepted by Amazon. The world’s largest mail-order company could significantly boost the adoption on its own. Whether it will be 2019 is still in the stars.

Until then we remain vigilant and study coinmap.org carefully. There are already many shops in Germany that accept crypto currencies like Bitcoin.

Tokenization

The token thing is. After ICOs, well, are dead for now, a new rising star shows up in the night sky: Security Token. The new, polished version of Token Sales is supposed to polish up the tarnished image of crypto financing. It lowers market barriers, reduces transaction costs and offers entrepreneurs an accessible and easily implemented model for raising capital.

In contrast to the often flimsy value promises of utility token offerings, security tokens are basically compatible with traditional concepts of ownership and are therefore not in a regulatory no-man’s-land.

In 2019 we will not see a reissue of the ICO hype from 2017 – and that is good news. Rather, start-ups can use the experience gained from the ICO bubble to build more sustainable concepts for token sales and give this concept of raising capital a new boost. The markets are maturing.

Decentralized Exchanges
Mt. Gox proved one thing to us: With “no single point of failure” it is not very far away when crypto investors have their assets on the stock markets. Then there is a single point of failure: the exchange itself. To put it even more drastically, in the crypto ecosystem, exchanges are the weakest link in the chain. If they are hacked, the total loss of all crypto finds deposited there is not uncommon.

But salvation is at hand. In 2018, reports of the progressive development of decentralized exchanges became more frequent. 2019 could be the year of implementation. This would be an opportunity for Crypto, as it comes much closer to the ideal of a decentralized, censorship-resistant world than in the current ecosystem.

Binance DEX Preview 2
Watch this video on YouTube.
Candidates to keep in mind during this development are 0x, the Binance DEX and the Bithumb DEX.

For more details and a brief introduction to the fabulous world of decentralized exchanges, click here.

November 30

Bitcoin news: Where is the journey going? The situation on Wednesday

A look at the share price pages over the past few weeks may not be exactly inspiring for Bitcoin investors. Even though the Bitcoin share price currently stands at EUR 3,570 (USD 4,054), a slight plus of just under six percent, it has fallen sharply over the past few months measured against its all-time high. The situation is very similar for the entire crypto market.

Bitcoin news: Where is the journey going, Bitcoin?

The situation on Wednesday. If investors are currently looking at their portfolio, they should not only enjoy it. Whether Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum or IOTA: Prices were clearly closer to the moon. And this despite the fact that the Bitcoin news technology – compared to November 2017 – has made significant progress. But that could actually be the “problem”. If the Bitcoin news market was completely overheated last year, it still seems to be cooling down. The big ICO hype seems to be over. No wonder that Prince Michael of Liechtenstein says: “Now comes a disappointment phase”.

A necessary disappointment?
During this phase, established projects have the opportunity to assert themselves. Shitcoins, on the other hand, finally have the opportunity to dissolve. As is currently the case with Envion. It was one of the most successful ICO projects on German soil, but had neither a product nor a technology. The only thing that the German start-up seems to leave behind are investors who have been put off. The idea was a good one, as was the execution – at least from the point of view of the profit-oriented initiators.

However, it is such projects that ultimately help the ecosystem (at least that is to be hoped) to extend the trimmed decentralised wings. The scene is still struggling with fraud. But in the end it can learn and reach a consensus.

Crypto currencies grow with their adaptation

Finally, crypto currencies (if they are suitable) also grow with their adaptation: In Ohio you can pay your taxes with Bitcoin, in France you can soon buy the crypto currency together with a pack of cigarettes. For a short time, such progress may seem marginal (in terms of price slides). In the long run, however, it is such small steps that bring Bitcoin forward with big leaps. It must find its way into society in order to move away from the object of speculation and become what it wants to be: a global monetary system based on technology. Then the course will work out again.

November 27

Brave – the browser for Bitcoin loophole Micropayments

Brave tries to make browsing more pleasant and profitable for both the user and the website operator through micropayments.

Every month it becomes harder to monetize web content. Classic advertising models lose their validity with the widespread use of ad blockers. The Brave Browser wants to remove classic advertisements from this equation and introduce micropayments to support content creators. Bitcoin is a perfect candidate for these microtransactions: Bitcoin is globally available, instant payments are possible and transaction costs are (still) small.

Experience the Internet afresh with Bitcoin loophole

The number of Internet Bitcoin loophole browsers used by the masses can be counted on one hand: Google Chrome, Safari, Microsoft Edge, Chromium and Firefox are the best-known names found on many different Bitcoin loophole platforms.

But all these browsers have one problem: advertising that can get really intrusive. And even if the available adblockers can hide annoying advertisements, you are far from a perfect solution. Ultimately, content creators must somehow make an income and banner ads are still the most commonly chosen method.

With ad blockers on smartphones, those content creators need to fundamentally rethink their strategy. But they’re not the only ones working on a solution to this problem; former Mozilla CEO Brendan Eich suggested an alternative: Instead of removing advertising in general, how about replacing it with something else?

Even though you might think it would be easy, Eich and his team needed a new browser. It’s called Brave and will replace intrusive ads from websites with “clean” ads. These selected ads will improve browsing for the end user and give the content creator a way to monetize their websites.

Micropayments to support content creators

In addition to the above points, Brave is supported by the fact that micropayments can be paid to content creators: Each user of the Brave browser will receive a small fee for viewing “clean advertising”, which can then be paid to others – both site operators and other users. Even though according to Brendan Eich micropayments will not dominate the user experience in the beginning, this feature has a lot of potential.

At the moment, however, the Brave browser is far from finished – only future updates will support sites that need Flash. It should also be emphasized that not all advertisements will be deleted. Social networks like Facebook and Twitter will keep their ads and sponsored tweets because they are not as annoying as banners or videos for the end user.

Ultimately, the Brave user wins much more than just micropayments with this browser: Not only will they see far fewer annoying ads, they will also load websites much faster. The RAM usage will thus only be half as large as that of Chrome and on a par with that of Firefox.

November 9

Ethereum is submerging: Bitcoin secret exchange rate below 200 US dollars

On the evening of 8 September, the Ethereum exchange rate broke through an important support and is currently at 190 US dollars. Thus the exchange rate has fallen to values of July 2017. An important support is currently being tested, and the indicators suggest that it could fall even lower.

Bitcoin’s fall a few days ago spoiled the day for traders with a long position and hodlers. But Bitcoin, as weak as the performance of the Bitcoin price is at the moment, can still hold its ground above the support this year.

In stark contrast to this Bitcoin secret is the Ethereum rate

With the sale not only the support was undercut at 286 US dollars. The Bitcoin secret exchange rate thus fell below the minimum of September last year. The Ethereum rate is currently testing support from the end of July. If this does not hold, the next Bitcoin secret price target would be 155 US dollars – the minimum from mid-July 2017.

Reasons: General market situation, (self-)criticism of ethereum and postponement of Difficulty Bomb
It is often idle to name the reasons for a fall in prices. In the case of Ethereum, however, there are a few Ethereum-specific points in addition to the reasons for the fall of the Bitcoin course: Ethereum has recently been criticized from various quarters. Christian von Stellar X explained why he would not host an Ethereum-based ICO. The well-known magazine TechCrunch even sharpened its focus: Jeremy Rubin argued why, in his opinion, Ethereum’s value proposition cannot be fulfilled.

What is really dramatic is that no one less than Vitalik Buterin Jeremy Rubin partly agreed with Reddit. Vitalik admitted, however, that this would only be due to the consensus mechanism:

This hopeful view of an Ethereum system with Proof of Stake, which is to become real with Casper, has now been postponed to one year via the EIP-1234. Strictly speaking, the Ethereum Improvement Proposal only postpones the Difficulty Bomb, but quite a few interpret this step in such a way that Proof of Stake at Ethereum must now wait.

Let’s summarize:

An already bad situation on the market, coupled with harsh criticism of the Ethereum system, which is partly shared by Vitalik, and an extension of the waiting time for Casper, which Vitalik believes would be necessary, are sufficient reasons for such a dramatic fall in prices.

BUILDL – The rescue of Ethereum
Is this the end of Ethereum? It doesn’t have to come that way. Quite apart from the fact that the currently tested support can also hold, it is now necessary to develop dApps on Ethereum. The Ethereum community must show that the crypto currency can do more than just be a platform for anyone in ICOs. This is not unrealistic: No matter if you look at FOMO3d, Augur or Golem: The second largest of all crypto currencies, with or without Proof of Stake, can be much more than a platform for token sales!

November 4

Bitcoin: NYDFS plans temporary BitLicense for crypto trader

LawskyThe New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) has announced that it is actively considering a temporary and customized BitLicense for Bitcoin startups and small businesses.

The specific licensing would allow Bitcoin startups to operate within a slightly more flexible legal framework for an unspecified period of time and to have their corporate structure reviewed.

Expected transaction and business volume for the crypto trader

The formal announcement of the NYDFS strategy for crypto trader change came from superintendent M. Lawsky during his keynote address at the opening of the five-day Money 20/20 conference. The crypto trader conference will be attended by Bitcoin’s big names such as Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire, and Blockchain CEO Nicolas Cary.

With prepared comments, Lawsky explained his department’s decision and clearly explained how the NYDFS responded to criticism from Bitcoin Communiy during the 90-day comment period.

Lawsky said: “A problem we’ve heard almost throughout the comment period is the cost of compliance compliance for new companies in the virtual currency industry… There has to be a way for startups to start doing business, or to be directly crushed by compliance costs.” Lawsky said.

In addition, Lawsky spoke of a possible small group of special auditors who will supervise such start-ups and examine their applications. They will then help companies to find their way through the jungle of regulations.

Determining factors

Lawsky introduced some factors that have an impact on the temporary BitLicense:
Existing risk reductions through bonds or insurance policies
The nature and focus of the company
Whether the company is already registered with FinCEN as a money service company
According to Lawsky, the latest draft of the NYDFS is characterized by the feedback received from the Bitcoin community. He also hopes that the letters from the community will be published soon.
Lawsky hopes that the NYDFS will strike a healthy balance between customer protection and the continued growth of the Bitcoin industry.
“We hope that many new and innovative companies willing to do the right thing will do a lot of business in New York, the financial capital of the world.

Consumer engagement
In the course of the speech, Lawsky repeatedly pointed out that, in addition to relieving Bitcoin startups, the protection of customers from illegal activities is still a priority.

“We cannot turn our backs on the vital task of preventing money laundering, which sometimes makes indescribable crimes possible,” Lawsky said.

Lawsky also said that startups must expect severe penalties for misconduct and that all companies subject to BitLicense must meet strict anti-money laundering (AML) and capital standards. For startups, however, there is also the possibility to outsource these risks:

“We had the same problem with smaller banks in the financial sector. We quickly noticed that if a company consists of 12 employees and 9 of them are compliance officers, that is not a healthy business model”.

Lawsky concluded by saying that the latest version of BitLicense will soon be released for revision and that the final version will probably be released in January.

November 1

New tricks of cryptosoft, but still the same old dog

All the technology will sound music to the ears of banks, merchants and payment processors. But for the Bitcoin community it’s more of a slap in the face.

For starters, Apple’s partnership with banks and payment processors keeps the already established system under control. The only thing that changes in the payment channel.

Apple Pay is therefore still a thorn in the side of the Bitcoin mission, bringing with it central financial control.

If cryptosoft wants to take on Apple Pay, it has to reinvent itself

Second, Apple Pay beats cryptosoft with the user experience. The entire ecosystem is very user-friendly and focused on the end customer. The company has spent years building a perfect design and a huge cryptosoft following that is second to none in the technology industry.

People understand the Apple Phones and thanks to Jony Ive’s team they will quickly understand the Apple Watch. They also long for the devices.

Bitcoin, on the other hand, continues to fight for mainstream acceptance. Despite the good news from PayPal, Circle and Stripe, the concept is still incomprehensible to many.

Bitcoin is by nature a grassroots movement. Bitcoin does not enjoy such a top-down organisation as Apple. Due to the many implementations, design, user experience and security are contradictory, making it difficult for the mainstream to understand Bitcoin.

It’s going to be a tough battle

Apple Pay will probably be successful because it attracts people in droves, no matter what control they have to give up and what advantages Bitcoin offers. History has shown several times that control is exchanged for convenience. If you have any doubts, just take a look at Facebook.

Of course, there are also advantages. If Apple Pay brings NFC technology to the market, Bitcoin can also use this technology. But Apple Pay will be there by then.

Apple Pay will not be able to erase Bitcoin, but it will establish itself very well. It will attract a large number of customers who want to make use of the convenient payment method, while Bitcoin still has a big challenge ahead of it: Bitcoin must evolve from a highly speculative commodity into a real currency used by millions of people every day.

Bitcoin must continue to work on this transition to bring more liquidity to the market and unleash its true potential.

So if the Bitcoin industry is serious about taking on Apple Pay, it needs to reinvent itself. Bitcoin has to market itself to people so technologically ignorant that people are willing to throw their iPhones into the microwave (yes, that really happened). This is not a really easy task.

Disclaimer: The views in this article are those of the original author and do not necessarily reflect the views of BTC-Echo.

October 26

Iceland: From Mining Site to Blockchain Hub

Iceland, with its cold climate and low-cost electricity, has attracted many crypto enthusiasts who sensed their great mining opportunity on the windy island at the Arctic Circle. After the onslaught reached its peak in December last year, the Icelandic mining business continues to decline. Experts now see the next – and possibly longer lasting – hype coming: the development of blockchain technology.

Iceland’s largest data center provider Advania had to contend with enormous demand from abroad last December. The cold climate and cheap electricity, 98 percent of which Iceland generates from geothermal energy, attracted many miners to the island. However, as the news portal Red Herring reported on September 23rd, Bitcoin’s fall and several thefts of mining computers soon cooled the mining euphoria. Instead of turning completely away from modern technology, many Icelandic companies are now concentrating on developing the blockchain.

Cowboys are moving out of Iceland

As a manager of Advania Red Herring pointed out, he had seen many “cowboys” who came to Iceland only because of mining and disappeared accordingly quickly. In particular, the cheap electricity had made the island the ideal location for Bitcoin mining. While the PUE, a value used to indicate the energy efficiency of a data centre, is 1.78 on European average, it is only 1.03 in Iceland. This makes Iceland almost twice as cost-efficient as many of its continental neighbours. So it is not surprising that many international mining companies such as BitFury and Genesis have found very cheap mining opportunities on the cold island.

Where a lot of money is suspected, imaginative criminals are not far away. Thus it came at the beginning of the year to several thefts of mining computers. Some of them could even have made it as far as China.

After mining comes the blockchain

The Icelandic government had not put a regulatory stop to the mining-hype. Nevertheless, it viewed the development with suspicion. The onslaught of a new branch of industry, which many still associate with the Silk Road, could not cause a storm of enthusiasm in politics. Nevertheless, he ensured that many people were interested in the world of Bitcoin and Co and the underlying blockchain technology. Halldór Jörgensson, Chairman of the Borealis Data Center, explains:

“The demand is for us to focus more on the pure blockchain business. So you could say that the Bitcoin wave, the big wave of Bitcoin demand, has helped us to build very quickly because there were really aggressive or interested parties who wanted to do something and we managed to build it. We firmly believe that the whole Bitcoin thing has been reduced to a level that isn’t as crazy as it was a year ago. We believe there is another wave that will take advantage of the infrastructure that was built during the Bitcoin mining phase.”